ReSET Blog
Blog · June 21, 2023 · AUTHOR: Stanley Bawalan

Housing Market Predictions for 2023: Mortgage Rates, Sales, Prices, and Inventory

The housing market in 2023 is a subject of interest for homeowners, sellers, and buyers. People want to know what to expect in terms of mortgage rates, sales activity, home prices, and housing inventory. 

This quick blog provides an overview of the housing market predictions for 2023, based on insights from industry experts. To make the information more accessible, we will use simpler language and include relevant graphs for visual representation.

Mortgage Rates

One crucial factor affecting the housing market is mortgage rates—the interest rates individuals pay when financing a home. 

Experts have different opinions about the future of mortgage rates in 2023. Some believe rates will continue to rise due to factors such as inflation and geopolitical tensions. 

Others are more optimistic, expecting rates to reach a peak early in the year and gradually decline as time progresses. The graph below illustrates the projected trajectory of mortgage rates in 2023.

Housing Sales

The performance of housing sales is closely tied to mortgage rates and buyer demand. According to experts, home sales are expected to decline in 2023

The degree of decline depends on various factors. Higher mortgage rates and affordability concerns may contribute to a decrease in home sales. 

Additionally, experts predict longer listing durations, meaning that homes may stay on the market for a more extended period before being sold.

Home Prices

When it comes to home prices, experts do not anticipate significant drops in 2023. While factors like inflation and fluctuations in mortgage rates can affect affordability, overall pricing is expected to remain relatively stable. 

Although a meaningful decrease in mortgage rates could alleviate some of the strain on buyers, experts suggest that home affordability will not change dramatically. The graph below presents an overview of projected home prices for 2023.

Housing Inventory

Housing inventory, the number of homes available for sale, plays a significant role in the housing market. Experts differ in their projections for 2023. Some suggest that existing home inventory will remain low, as current homeowners are hesitant to sell due to low-rate mortgages.

However, others anticipate a slight increase in housing supply as more reluctant sellers enter the market. The graph below provides an overview of projected changes in housing inventory for 2023.

Buyer's or Seller's Market

The balance between buyers and sellers in the housing market is crucial. In recent years, it has been a seller's market, but the landscape is expected to shift towards a more balanced market in 2023. Factors such as affordability issues and economic concerns may depress buyer demand, resulting in a more balanced market. However, the balance may vary depending on the region. Larger markets could experience increased demand as offices and businesses return to full capacity.

Also: Best States to Invest in Real Estate for 2023: Florida, Texas, North Carolina, and South Carolina | SetSchedule 

Takeaway

The housing market predictions for 2023 suggest a transitional year characterized by uncertainty. Mortgage rates may continue to rise, impacting home sales and affordability. 

Home prices are expected to remain relatively stable, with no significant drops anticipated. Housing inventory projections vary, with the possibility of a slight increase in supply.

The market is predicted to shift towards a more balanced state, with buyer demand tempered by affordability concerns.

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